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Certificate check

The most-quoted number in this field was made up

You have probably seen the claim that 59 percent of herbal supplements contain plants not listed on the label. It comes from one 2013 paper that used DNA testing. That paper was pulled in July 2024 after an investigation by the authors’ own institution found signs the data was made up. People still cite it, in news stories and in ads. Some brands even use it to set themselves apart from the rest of the industry.
Fixing that does not mean the bottles are fine. Label problems are real. Independent labs using proven chemistry tests have found them again and again, and they are bad in certain product types. This page separates what those studies show from what people claim they show. The real question is not the one most people ask. It is not whether a compound has evidence behind it. It is whether the product in your hand is the thing the evidence was about.

Plate 17

Certificate check

What the paper proves

CERTIFICATEBatch / testWhere it is hosted matters more than a logo

COA

What is in the vial

hash

Same file?

A certificate is about what is in the vial. A blood test is about you. Keep them apart.

What the testing found

  1. The most-cited statistic about supplement quality was retracted for data fabrication

    Who was studied

    A 2013 DNA barcoding study in BMC Medicine, the source of the widely repeated claim that 59% of herbal products contain plant species not on the label and that only 2 of 12 companies sold clean products

    The paper was retracted in July 2024. The notice states that an investigation by the University of Guelph found evidence of data fabrication and that the editor no longer has confidence in the presented data. Four of the five authors disagree with the retraction and the fifth has not stated a position.

    What this does not show

    That herbal products are fine, or that species substitution does not happen. Substitution is independently documented by other groups using other methods, and the ashwagandha result below is one of them. What it means is narrower and sharper: the 59% figure should not be cited, and any article or brand still citing it has not checked its references since mid-2024. A great deal of supplement journalism, and a great deal of supplement marketing that positions a brand against the industry, rests on that number.

    Review of studiesRetraction Note: DNA barcoding detects contamination and substitution in North American herbal products (2024)
  2. Melatonin gummies: 22 of 25 were inaccurately labelled and one contained none at all

    Who was studied

    25 melatonin gummy brands sold in the United States, analysed by liquid chromatography at the University of Mississippi

    88% were inaccurately labelled, with only 3 within 10% of the declared quantity. Actual melatonin ran from 74% to 347% of label, and measured content per serving from 1.3 mg to 13.1 mg. One product had no detectable melatonin but did contain 31.3 mg of cannabidiol. A Canadian analysis of 31 products six years earlier, by a different group with a different method, found content from 83% below to 478% above label and lot-to-lot variation within a single product reaching 465%.

    What this does not show

    A market-wide failure rate, and not a clinical harm. Both samples were small and purposively chosen, and the US study tested gummies, whose mixing problems may not transfer to compressed tablets. One internal detail argues against blaming the format: cannabidiol content in those same gummies was accurate, at 104 to 118% of label. The problem looks specific to melatonin. It matters because a product labelled 3 mg that delivers 13.1 mg is delivering roughly four times a common dose, in a category frequently given to children.

    Study in peopleQuantity of melatonin and CBD in melatonin gummies sold in the US (2023)
  3. Two NMN products sold as NMN contained no measurable NMN

    Who was studied

    18 nicotinamide mononucleotide supplements and 5 urolithin A supplements, blinded and randomly coded, measured by triple-quadrupole mass spectrometry with five aliquots per sample

    Deviation from label ran from plus 28.6% to minus 100%. Two NMN capsule products contained no quantifiable NMN, and one urolithin A capsule contained no quantifiable urolithin A. Liposomal NMN formulations did worst, at minus 86.3% and minus 33.4%. Four powder NMN products were accurate within about 7%. Price predicted nothing: NMN ranged from 1.1 to 17.5 euro per gram and urolithin A from 5.8 to 65.4.

    What this does not show

    That NMN does not work. It shows that some products sold as NMN do not contain NMN, which is a different claim and in some ways a worse one, because it means a person can run a careful self-experiment on an empty capsule. The sample was 18 and 5 products bought in one market at two time points, and the study cannot separate manufacturing failure from degradation, which matters because NMN is chemically unstable. A larger industry report reaching a similar conclusion was funded by a company selling the competing molecule, nicotinamide riboside, which does not make it wrong but does need saying.

    Study in peopleTesting the amount of nicotinamide mononucleotide and urolithin A as compared to the label claim (2024)
  4. Only 2 of 25 ashwagandha products were confirmed to be made from root, which is what the trials used

    Who was studied

    25 commercial ashwagandha supplements plus raw plant samples, tested for three steroidal lactones against both British and United States pharmacopoeial standards

    Over 44% failed British Pharmacopoeia standards and 60% failed the US standard, with only 10 of 25 meeting both. Only two products were confirmed root-derived. The rest contained varying proportions of leaf and stem, disclosed or not.

    What this does not show

    That 60% of ashwagandha is bad, and the authors say so themselves. A large part of the measured failure is an analytical artefact: the pharmacopoeial method mis-measures one of the markers when leaf material is present, so those failure rates are partly a statement about the test. The finding that survives is the plant part. Ashwagandha trials are run almost entirely on standardised root extract, so if a product is substantially leaf its chemistry differs and the trial evidence does not transfer to it, even though the label says ashwagandha truthfully. This is the cleanest example anywhere of the gap between a compound having evidence and a product having evidence.

    Review of studiesA comparison of British and US pharmacopoeia standards for quality of ashwagandha dietary supplements in commerce (2026)
  5. Vitamin D pills from sealed bottles held 9 to 140 percent of their stated dose

    Who was studied

    Individual cholecalciferol pills, five from each of 15 sealed over-the-counter bottles at 1,000, 5,000 and 10,000 IU, plus bottles from the same and different lots, plus compounded tablets

    Over-the-counter pills contained 52 to 135% of the expected dose, and across different lots the range widened to 9 to 140%. Compounded 1,000 IU tablets ran 23 to 146%. Just over half of the over-the-counter pills and about a third of the compounded ones met USP standards. Pill-to-pill variation inside a single bottle reached a coefficient of variation of 28%, although two-thirds of bottles stayed under 10%.

    What this does not show

    That your vitamin D is wrong, or that certification fixes this. The one USP-verified manufacturer in the sample averaged 101.7% with all five pills within 10%, which is encouraging and is also five pills from one company, so it cannot support a general claim about certified products. This is a research letter with a small non-random sample and no clinical outcomes. For vitamin D at ordinary doses a moderate potency deviation probably does not matter much, which is precisely why it is a good illustration: the variation is real and its importance depends entirely on the compound.

    Study in peopleOver-the-counter and compounded vitamin D: is potency what we expect? (2013)

What each seal actually checks

A seal is worth something, but only something specific. Two of the best-known programs test every single batch for banned substances. They make no claim about whether the label is right. Two others check the label, but only once a year. Read the row, not the logo. Each entry below comes from the program’s own published rules.

ProgramRun byTests for banned substancesChecks the labelHow often
NSF Certified for SportNSFYes, 280 to 290 substancesYes, and contaminantsBanned substances lot by lot. Label claim and contaminants annually.
NSF Contents CertifiedNSFNoYes, and contaminantsAnnual, with periodic retesting.
Informed SportLGCYes, over 285 substancesNot claimedEvery batch, plus blind purchases from retail shelves afterwards.
Informed ChoiceLGCYes, same panelNot claimedMonthly blind retail sampling, at least 12 lots a year. Not every batch.
USP VerifiedUS PharmacopeiaNoYes, and contaminantsAnnual, plus annual off-the-shelf market surveillance.
BSCG Certified Drug FreeBanned Substances Control GroupYes, 450 or more, including non-WADA pharmaceuticalsYes, annuallyBanned substances every finished lot. Label claim annually.

Two limits apply to all of them. Seals are optional, and the maker pays for them. So a product without a seal is not a bad one. It is an untested one. And a lab report from a seller (a certificate of analysis) describes the batch it came from, not always the batch in your hand.

What these studies show, and what they do not

Shown: wrong labels are real. Independent groups using proven lab tests have found them across many product types, and they are bad in certain ones. Melatonin, NMN, plant extracts and high-risk sports products have the worst record.

Not shown: any number for how much of the market is mislabeled. No such number exists. Under current US rules it cannot, because sellers do not have to list their products anywhere, so there is no total to count against. Every study above used a small, hand-picked set of products.

What this means for you is smaller than the outrage suggests. Say you take something because a blood marker is out of range, and you retest that marker in ninety days. A bad product shows up as a marker that did not move. That is one more reason the measurement matters more than the bottle. It is the point of the main supplements page.

The lesson goes beyond supplements. In this field, the most shocking number is often the one least worth trusting. The 59 percent figure proves it. It spread for eleven years. It shaped how a whole industry talks about itself. And it was made up.

Questions people ask about this

What percentage of supplements are mislabelled?
Nobody knows, and nobody can know. US rules do not make sellers list their products anywhere, so there is no total to work out a rate from. Every study on this used a small, hand-picked set of products. Anyone quoting a rate for the whole market is either stretching one of those small samples or citing the 2013 paper that was pulled in 2024 because the data was made up.
Does a certification seal mean the product contains what it says?
Only some of them. Informed Sport and Informed Choice test every batch for banned substances. They do not claim to check what is in the bottle against the label at all. NSF Contents Certified and USP Verified do check the label, but once a year, not every batch. So each seal answers one specific question, and it is often not the question the buyer has.
Are expensive supplements more accurate?
Not in the one study that measured it directly. It tested 18 NMN and 5 urolithin A products. Price had nothing to do with whether the label was right. NMN ran from 1.1 to 17.5 euro per gram, and urolithin A from 5.8 to 65.4. Two of the NMN capsules tested had no NMN the lab could measure.
Why does the plant part of a botanical matter?
Because the chemistry is different, and the study results do not carry over. Ashwagandha studies use root extract almost every time. When 25 store products were tested, only two were confirmed to come from the root. The rest had leaf and stem mixed in, in different amounts. The label can honestly say ashwagandha while the product has nothing to do with the studies people cite for it.